BC NDP hit 50% Support

In a very clear sign that Adrian Dix and the BC New Democrats have major momentum, Angus Reid has put out a poll showing the NDP sitting at 50% support in the poll.

Angus Reid (British Columbia - May 5-7th, 2012)
BC New Democrats: 50% (+7%) - 74 seats
BC Conservatives: 19% (-4%) - 6 seats

BC Liberal Party: 23% (=) - 3 seats
BC Green Party: 6% (-2%) - 0 seats

And that's not good for the BC Liberals, who at only 23%, can't keep enough of their vote in a general swing to maintain a healthy seat count. The BC Conservatives, on the other hand, could win six seats. Overall the tide is definitively orange.

The problem for the Liberals is now two-fold: the NDP can now legitimately say they outnumber the "free market coalition," which was the Liberal's main selling point to get Conservative voters on their side. That argument is now taken away from them.

Secondly, so long as the Conservatives maintain above 16% support in the polls, and the Liberals remain below 25%, it is very likely that the BC Liberals will become the third party in the legislature. That's just how it is; the Conservative vote is much more likely to be concentrated in the core Interior regions it's supposed to be strong in, while the Liberals fall prey to their province-wide support levels, even though they could maintain a healthy concentration of votes in the Vancouver area, if it weren't for the hilarious NDP lead there (49% to 26%), and province wide.

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